The United States intelligence and international experts predict that within the next five years, local conflicts and disputes may escalate into major wars. This was reported by Zamin.uz.
Such conclusions were drawn in an analysis published by Politico. According to experts, one of the most dangerous regions is the relations between India and Pakistan.
The long-standing conflicts in Kashmir and the fact that both countries possess nuclear arsenals could lead to serious global consequences. In particular, Pakistan's low-threshold military doctrine and its readiness to use nuclear weapons complicate the situation further.
Additionally, China may face the risk of two major conflicts simultaneously. The first risk concerns the Taiwan issue, where if tensions escalate, significant changes in international relations may occur, and the guarantees given by the US to its allies could be tested.
The second risk is the long-standing unresolved dispute along the China-India border. This conflict dates back to the colonial era, and effective mechanisms to resolve it currently do not exist.
Therefore, even a small misunderstanding could escalate into a major conflict. Western analysts are also paying attention to Russia's potential actions directed towards the Baltic region.
Such a situation could test NATO forces and pose a serious threat to European security. Furthermore, the North Korea issue is also considered particularly important.
Experts emphasize that the unstable policies under Kim Jong Un's leadership and reliance on nuclear weapons could trigger a major crisis throughout the region. Overall, the analysis presented by Politico indicates the possibility of new, dangerous, and complex processes emerging in the international political arena.
According to experts, if one of the outlined scenarios occurs, new and serious challenges to global security will arise. Therefore, the international community must take effective measures to prevent these risks.
