USA and Iran: Four scenarios, dangerous possibilities
US President Donald Trump is considering taking harsh measures against Iran amid ongoing protests against the government in Tehran. This was reported by Zamin.uz.
According to The Wall Street Journal, the US has warned its allies in the Middle East about possible military actions. Meanwhile, the British newspaper The Telegraph analyzed four main scenarios of how events might unfold.
The first scenario – “Symbolic Strikes.” This approach involves limited air strikes carried out by the US.
The goal is to show the Iranian government that the killing and repression of protesters will not go unanswered. The main targets are expected to be bases of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) or nuclear facilities.
However, if these strikes are not strong enough, Tehran may perceive this as US weakness, potentially complicating the situation further. The second scenario – a large-scale military campaign.
This aims to completely overthrow the regime. Along with military bases, government institutions would also be targeted.
This path requires significant resources and there is a possibility that external aggression could unite Iranians around their government. The third scenario – the elimination of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.
The US might seek to weaken the Iranian government and force it to comply with its demands through this action. However, killing Khamenei risks intensifying religious and political conflicts throughout the region and could lead to a large-scale war.
The fourth scenario – cyber warfare and informational support. The US is considering supporting protesters inside Iran with technological and informational assistance.
For example, cyberattacks could be launched or technologies provided to bypass internet blockades. However, analysts believe that the time for this method has already been lost.
Now the question arises: will US military intervention establish peace in the region or further destabilize the situation?
